Saturday, November 19, 2022

AAP's Rise in National Politics

The next 10-15 years period is going to see the gradual rise of Aam Aadmi Party in national politics. AAP is well on its way to supplant Congress as the main opposition party. For the tipping point to occur, AAP needs to form government in 5-6 states. This may happen between 2027-30. By 2034, AAP will be competing with BJP to form the government at the center.
AAP is recognized as a state party in Delhi, Goa, and Punjab. One more such recognition will automatically qualify it to become a national party. AAP might achieve this in the oncoming Gujarat state elections.
Indian polity is sorely missing a strong opposition party at the center. The rise of a non-traditional party into that role should be welcomed. Yes, it is true that Kejriwal is an opportunist and his leadership style is autocratic. His willingness to employ questionable tactics in pursuit of power ring many alarm bells. However, Kejriwal's realpolitik is a necessity in this political climate.
It should be noted that national politics has moved to the left of the spectrum in terms of economics and right of the spectrum in terms of religion and nationalism. Modi has mastered this balancing act and it has paid him rich dividends.
Arvind Kejriwal is no stranger to welfare politics and freebies. AAP is already known for good governance, with Mohalla Clinics and improvements in Education. AAP owes its origins to the India Against Corruption movement. What's missing in AAP's armory is appeasement of Hindu voters. The recent Goddess Lakshmi on currency notes demand is aimed in that direction.
No party that has qualms about abrogation of Article 370 and construction of Ram Mandir can dream of ruling India! This is what Arvind Kejriwal has recognized and Rahul Gandhi continues to be blind to.